A lot of people are discounting soft first-quarter numbers,...

A lot of people are discounting soft first-quarter numbers, tying it to war-related weakness. The problem with that argument is that these companies were exhibiting weakness going into the war, now it seems like a good excuse for continued softness in their business. Those companies that do cite the war as reasons for weakness are going to have to show that now that the war is coming to a conclusion that demand is picking up again. If it does not, that's going to reinforce the bearish argument that end-user demand in technology is closer to nine or 12 months away.