For sure by 2006 China will become number four and by 2010 it will be more than Germany.
China has now entered the era where it will gradually have to lets its currency appreciate, unless China is able to make a substantial change to its capital account.
China's trade surplus will remain a sticking point between China and the U.S.. It's hard to close the trade gap because there's very little China can buy from abroad that it doesn't already make.
It could be number four it could be number five but it's almost the same as the UK's economic size.
At the moment it's really difficult to tell if it's slowed down. I think basically it remains almost the same. There isn't much change.
It would depend on the UK's GDP (last year). Number one the nominal GDP growth and number two the exchange rate of the British pound against the U.S. dollar.
This is the first signal that the central bank is trying to tighten monetary policy.
It's very hard for China's exports to fall any time soon.
It will definitely go past France, so for sure China is going to be the number five economy in the world.