Models used to describe and predict inflation commonly distinguish between changes in food and energy prices - which enter into total inflation - and movements in the prices of other goods and services - that is, core inflation.
Certainly, analyses do indicate that house prices are abnormally high --- that there is a 'bubble' element, even accounting for factors that would support high house prices, such as low mortgage interest rates. So a reversal is certainly a possibility.
My bottom line is that monetary policy should react to rising prices for houses or other assets only insofar as they affect the central bank's goal variables - output, employment, and inflation.
Those of you who lived through the 1970's will remember that higher oil prices touched off a wage-price spiral that pushed inflation into double-digit territory,
Those of you who lived through the 1970s will remember that higher oil prices touched off a wage-price spiral that pushed inflation into double-digit territory.
Uncertainty about sales impedes business planning and could harm capital formation just as much as uncertainty about inflation can create uncertainty about relative prices and harm business planning.
I see no evidence of feedbacks from energy prices to wage bargaining, ... The risk, though, is that, without appropriate policy, we could see a repetition of the 70's type dynamic.
I see no evidence of feedbacks from energy prices to wage bargaining. The risk, though, is that, without appropriate policy, we could see a repetition of the '70s-type dynamic.
This sector has been a key source of strength in the current expansion, and the concern is that, if house prices fell, the negative impact on household wealth could lead to a pullback in consumer spending.
A crucial responsibility of any central bank is to control inflation, the average rate of increase in the prices of a broad group of goods and services.
At this stage, wage and salary growth seems quite well contained, and I see no evidence of feedbacks from energy prices to wage bargaining,
Higher oil prices may be partly passed through to core inflation at least for a time,