The monetary policy committee cautioned last month that it may not allow growth in credit to go unchecked, inferring that it may be concerned that consumption expenditure could introduce an element of inflation sufficient to attract a monetary tightening response.
Fiscal relief may be the ammunition necessary to drive consumption expenditure but with it not being accompanied by aggressive monetary relief, growth in household consumption expenditure is showing signs of consolidation.
This has, however, since been replaced by a cycle of higher trending growth, underpinned by record confidence; the lowest consumer interest rates since 1983; almost R89bn in personal income tax cuts since 1995; and generally sound macroeconomic, monetary and fiscal stability.