People were expecting builds across the board. On that basis the market reaction that we have had is not surprising...It looks like product strength has the potential to return.
Whilst the immediate impact on European energy prices has been negligible, the dispute has served to emphasize the dependence of Western Europe on Russian gas supplies and the issue has the potential to keep European gas consumers on edge for some time.
We would expect the potential for further chaos in Nigeria to provide a floor for prices above $60, and we expect that Nigeria will continue to be a major issue in terms of supply security.
Oil prices have fallen since the release of worse than expected US oil inventory figures on Wednesday but the potential for the Iranian situation to worsen during the course of the IAEA meeting currently underway is keeping oil market participants wary.
There's still going to be concern about potential hurricanes in the market for a few months. Crude output and refining are so tightly stretched that you don't need a big disruption to put the system under a lot of pressure.
The Nigerian situation has the potential to get a lot worse. It's going to run and run.