Michael Gregory Inflation Quotations

But against the backdrop of improvements in commodity prices, the fact the Canadian dollar has been rallying and the long end of the market had already priced it in, they thought, 'Listen, our rates should be below U.S. rates. Our inflation is lower and we're well behind in the economic cycle.'

The question for the Fed is what inflation will look like in 12 to 18 months. The U.S. economy is still growing fast enough to use up slack that's out there in the economy, and that could present an inflation threat down the road.

Inflation is not a problem right now; that is not really what the Fed is paying attention to.

The fact that we've had some decent growth, as long as it isn't associated with inflation risk, is generally good for equity markets. But we did see that wage pressure remains elevated. From that perspective, (the report) is neutral.

As far as the Fed goes, it really isn't inflation on the ground that's a concern, it's inflation down the road. For a very long time, they've offset that with global concerns, but there doesn't appear to be any more world crises to worry about.

All is not quiet on the inflation front. Commodity prices and capacity constraints still pose some inflation risks.